Obama can win Georgia in November

Blacks have won statewide office before, like Thurbert Baker and Michael Thurmond (of no relation to Strom Thurmond ;) ).

I figure that if blacks who vote for Obama are 35% of the electorate then we have a pretty good shot at Georgia.

In 2000, 71% of Georgian whites voted for Bush, and 76% did in 2004. Whites were 70% of the electorate in 2004. Blacks, including blacks who voted for Bush, were 25% of the electorate. Non-black minorities, including Hispanics, were 5%.

So, if 35% of the entire 2008 electorate is blacks who vote for Obama then we only need 25% of the rest of the electorate, which includes all white voters, all non-white and non-black voters, and blacks who vote for McCain, to vote for Obama and we win Georgia with 51.25% of the popular vote.

If blacks who vote for Obama are 30% of the electorate, then we need 29% of the rest of the electorate and we win Georgia with 50.3% of the popular vote.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/GA/P/00/epolls.0.html